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European stock markets faced a dip on Friday as traders locked in profits from a strong start to 2025, shifting their focus to next week’s full resumption of business. While the week began positively, concerns over global economic trends and political uncertainties gradually weighed on investor sentiment.

A Mixed Picture Across Global Markets

The performance of global markets was far from uniform, with notable movements in both Asian and Western markets.

Asian Markets:
Despite rising political tensions in Asia’s fourth-largest economy, Seoul’s main equity index surged nearly 2%, setting a positive tone for the region. Markets in Hong Kong, Sydney, and Taipei also recorded gains. However, Shanghai saw its second consecutive session of losses, highlighting concerns about the Chinese economy's trajectory.

US Markets:
Wall Street closed lower on Thursday, marking the first trading day of the year. The underperformance was partly attributed to Tesla’s Q4 vehicle sales, which fell short of expectations, leading to a 6.1% drop in the company’s stock. Investors are also bracing for the impact of the upcoming inauguration of President-elect Donald Trump, which has introduced fresh uncertainties regarding global trade policies.

European Markets Snapshot

European markets saw a mix of profit-taking and cautious sentiment.

  • FTSE 100 (London): Closed at 8,247.80 points, down 0.2%.

  • CAC 40 (Paris): Declined by 0.9%, ending at 7,327.26.

  • DAX (Frankfurt): Fell 0.4%, closing at 19,940.47.

Despite these declines, certain sectors such as pharmaceuticals and energy showed resilience, offering a silver lining amid the broader downturn.

Currency and Commodities Update

In the forex market, the US dollar weakened against major currencies after hitting multi-year highs earlier in the week.

  • Euro/USD: Rose to $1.0283 from $1.0269.
  • Pound/USD: Increased to $1.2398 from $1.2382.
  • Dollar/Yen: Dropped to 157.34 yen from 157.52 yen.

In the commodities market:

  • WTI Crude Oil: Fell 0.4% to $72.82 per barrel.
  • Brent Crude: Dropped 0.4%, ending at $75.63 per barrel.

Key Drivers of Market Movements

Several factors influenced this week’s market activity:

  1. Political Uncertainty in Asia:
    Ongoing concerns in Asia’s fourth-largest economy drove cautious trading, though Seoul bucked the trend with significant gains.

  2. US Policy Shifts Under Trump:
    President-elect Trump’s looming inauguration has traders anticipating potential tariffs on Chinese goods, which could disrupt global trade and weigh on economic growth.

  3. China's Economic Woes:
    The yuan’s slump to its lowest level since late 2023 reflects diminishing confidence in Chinese assets, further clouding the global outlook.

  4. Tesla’s Weak Performance:
    The electric vehicle giant’s underwhelming sales report impacted Wall Street, signaling potential challenges for the broader market

What Lies Ahead?

Investors are now looking forward to a series of crucial economic data releases, including inflation and retail sales figures for the holiday shopping season. These reports will provide further insight into the state of the global economy and influence the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy decisions.

In the UK, attention remains on the Bank of England’s response to recent data, as traders weigh the implications for interest rates and economic recovery.

KQ Markets Analysis

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